Cubs vs Mets Prediction - MLB Picks 8/7/23

New York Mets (50-61) vs Chicago Cubs (58-54)

Game Info: Monday, August 7, 2023 at 7:10 pm (Citi Field)

Kodai Senga (7-6) (3.25) vs Drew Smyly (8-7) (4.71)

Betting Odds: New York Mets -130 / Chicago Cubs +110 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Chicago Cubs will play the New York Mets in Game 1 of their series on Monday night at Citi Field in New York. The Cubs are coming off of a very impressive series win against Atlanta and they continue to move up in the NL Central standings. On the other side, New York has completely fallen apart and is looking towards next year.

Cubs Preview

The Chicago Cubs are 58-54 this season and they have won five of their last six games. Chicago is coming off of a series win against the Braves, where they won two out of three games. The Cubs offense has been red hot lately, scoring six runs or more in four of their last six games. The Chicago pitching staff has a 4.11 ERA, a 1.28 WHIP, and a .245 opponent batting average this year. The Cubs offense has scored 574 runs with a .257 batting average and a .334 on base percentage. Nico Hoerner is batting .272 with eight home runs and 58 RBI’s for the Cubs. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Drew Smyly, who is 8-7 with a 4.71 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP over 112.2 innings pitched this season.

Mets Preview

The New York Mets are 50-61 this season and they have lost six Games in a row. New York is coming off of a series sweep against the Orioles, where they lost all three Games. Prior to that, New York lost all three Games in their series with the Royals. The Mets have scored eight runs in their last five Games. The New York pitching staff has a 4.41 ERA, a 1.37 WHIP, and a .250 opponent batting average. The Mets offense has scored 480 runs with a .236 batting average and a .316 on base percentage this season. Pete Alonso is batting .220 with 31 home runs and 77 RBI’s for the Mets. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Kodai Senga, who is 7-6 with a 3.25 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP over 110.2 innings pitched this year. 

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Matchup/League Facts

The Chicago Cubs ranks 3rd in the league for walks this season (406).

The Chicago Cubs are one of only 3 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and batting average this season.

The New York Mets ranks 4th in the league for strikeouts against this season (876).

The New York Mets ranks T11th in the league for home runs this season (137).

Pick

Chicago comes into this Game playing very well and they are coming off of a series win against the best team in baseball. New York limps into this matchup and they have not been very comPetitive in their last two series. New York is starting Kodai Senga, who has allowed three earned runs or fewer in five straight starts. Chicago is starting Drew Smyly, who has allowed four earned runs or more in four of his last five starts. The Cubs have one of the hottest offenses in the MLB right now and while the Mets have struggled lately, I think they will get to Smyly here. I like the over in this Game. 

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